Det ligner en hånd, men det er 3 i træk, what the fuck are the odds!?!?
PokerStars Game #15789059737: Tournament #79267301, $5.00+$0.50 Hold'em No Limit - Level I (10/20) - 2008/03/06 - 18:10:46 (ET)
Table '79267301 129' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: germain133 (7010 in chips)
Seat 2: bugs2029 (2675 in chips)
Seat 3: leplusbeau (2940 in chips)
Seat 4: yekta (5185 in chips)
Seat 5: 1.poker.uk (3550 in chips)
Seat 6: Hero (8655 in chips)
Seat 7: luislalo (1320 in chips)
Seat 8: chris.pec (3215 in chips)
Seat 9: FAP 12-13 (2950 in chips)
yekta: posts small blind 10
1.poker.uk: posts big blind 20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero 6 ♦ J ♦
PokerStars Game #15789075759: Tournament #79267301, $5.00+$0.50 Hold'em No Limit - Level I (10/20) - 2008/03/06 - 18:11:30 (ET)
Table '79267301 129' 9-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: germain133 (7010 in chips)
Seat 2: bugs2029 (2675 in chips)
Seat 3: leplusbeau (2940 in chips)
Seat 4: yekta (5175 in chips)
Seat 5: 1.poker.uk (600 in chips)
Seat 6: Hero (8655 in chips)
Seat 7: luislalo (1260 in chips)
Seat 8: chris.pec (3215 in chips)
Seat 9: FAP 12-13 (5970 in chips)
1.poker.uk: posts small blind 10
Hero: posts big blind 20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero 6 ♦ J ♦
PokerStars Game #15789102350: Tournament #79267301, $5.00+$0.50 Hold'em No Limit - Level I (10/20) - 2008/03/06 - 18:12:43 (ET)
Table '79267301 129' 9-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: germain133 (7010 in chips)
Seat 2: bugs2029 (2235 in chips)
Seat 3: leplusbeau (2940 in chips)
Seat 4: yekta (5175 in chips)
Seat 5: 1.poker.uk (3320 in chips)
Seat 6: Hero (8635 in chips)
Seat 7: luislalo (500 in chips)
Seat 8: chris.pec (3215 in chips)
Seat 9: FAP 12-13 (5970 in chips)
Hero: posts small blind 10
luislalo: posts big blind 20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero 6 ♦ J ♦
Hvad er sandsynligheden?
jeg fik engang TT 3 gange i træk men godt nok ikke i samme s000t... men chancen er MEEEGET lille... noget med antal muligestart hænder i en faktor 3.. thyssen?
Den burde være ligetil (correct me if I'm wrong pls.)
1. Hånd - kan være any two = 100%
2. Hånd - 2 kort ud af 52 (1/26) * 1 ud af 51 (1/51) = 1.326
3. Hånd - samme som hånd 2 = 1.326
1.326*1.326 = dvs. 1 ud af 1.758.276 gange
Det kommer jo også an på hvad man vil opfatte som "utroligt". Ville du have skrevet det samme indlæg hvis det var den samme hånd, men forskellige farver? Hvad med ♣A♣2, ♣3♣4, ♣5♣6? det ville da også have set lidt specielt ud, så de skal måske også regnes med i sandsynligheden for "det utrolige er sket".
Hvis du kan forudsige præcis hvad dine næste tre hænder vil blive, så er jeg imponeret, uanset om du siger AA, AA, AA, eller 27, J4, KT.