Linjecheck, FIFTY-50, 30$

PokerStars Game #66682065740: Tournament #433676143, $28.63+$1.37 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XII (200/400) - 2011/08/28 22:31:51 CET [2011/08/28 16:31:51 ET]
Table '433676143 1' 10-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: SoiSkawBeach (82 in chips)
Seat 3: brutalizer20 (4430 in chips)
Seat 6: eBOYT (590 in chips)
Seat 7: nilfo1 (4789 in chips)
Seat 8: Sergey Bykov (175 in chips)
Seat 10: joshua T-roy (4934 in chips)
SoiSkawBeach: posts the ante 50
brutalizer20: posts the ante 50
eBOYT: posts the ante 50
nilfo1: posts the ante 50
Sergey Bykov: posts the ante 50
joshua T-roy: posts the ante 50
eBOYT: posts small blind 200
nilfo1: posts big blind 400
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to nilfo1 [9d Qc]
Sergey Bykov: folds
joshua T-roy: folds
SoiSkawBeach: folds
brutalizer20: raises 492 to 892
eBOYT: folds
nilfo1: calls 492
*** FLOP *** [Qh 3c 8h]
nilfo1: checks
brutalizer20: bets 800
nilfo1: raises 3047 to 3847 and is all-in
brutalizer20: calls 2688 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (359) returned to nilfo1
*** TURN *** [Qh 3c 8h] [Ks]
*** RIVER *** [Qh 3c 8h Ks] [7c]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
nilfo1: shows [9d Qc] (a pair of Queens)
brutalizer20: shows [3s 3h] (three of a kind, Threes)
brutalizer20 collected 9260 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 9260 | Rake 0
Board [Qh 3c 8h Ks 7c]
Seat 1: SoiSkawBeach folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: brutalizer20 (button) showed [3s 3h] and won (9260) with three of a kind, Threes
Seat 6: eBOYT (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 7: nilfo1 (big blind) showed [9d Qc] and lost with a pair of Queens
Seat 8: Sergey Bykov folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 10: joshua T-roy folded before Flop (didn't bet)


Og denne, en typisk situation som velsagtens er meget afgørende for ens 50-50-skæbne som jeg ser det:

PokerStars Game #66683819427: Tournament #433687547, $28.63+$1.37 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XIII (250/500) - 2011/08/28 23:06:52 CET [2011/08/28 17:06:52 ET]
Table '433687547 1' 10-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: nilfo1 (1220 in chips)
Seat 2: noplom (605 in chips)
Seat 3: sebldom (2705 in chips)
Seat 5: Desuric (6990 in chips)
Seat 7: xlebisol (1470 in chips)
Seat 9: Taube_988 (2010 in chips)
nilfo1: posts the ante 60
noplom: posts the ante 60
sebldom: posts the ante 60
Desuric: posts the ante 60
xlebisol: posts the ante 60
Taube_988: posts the ante 60
Taube_988: posts small blind 250
nilfo1: posts big blind 500
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to nilfo1 [4h As]
noplom: folds
sebldom: folds
Desuric: raises 6430 to 6930 and is all-in
xlebisol: folds
Taube_988: folds
nilfo1: calls 660 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (5770) returned to Desuric
*** FLOP *** [5c Qc 9c]
*** TURN *** [5c Qc 9c] [Td]
*** RIVER *** [5c Qc 9c Td] [2s]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
nilfo1: shows [4h As] (high card Ace)
Desuric: shows [Ts 3s] (a pair of Tens)
Desuric collected 2930 from pot
nilfo1 finished the tournament in 6th place
Desuric wins the tournament and receives $111.66 - congratulations!
sebldom finished the tournament in 2nd place and received $53.87.
Taube_988 finished the tournament in 3rd place and received $44.85.
xlebisol finished the tournament in 4th place and received $42.09.
noplom finished the tournament in 5th place and received $33.83.
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 2930 | Rake 0
Board [5c Qc 9c Td 2s]
Seat 1: nilfo1 (big blind) showed [4h As] and lost with high card Ace
Seat 2: noplom folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: sebldom folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: Desuric showed [Ts 3s] and won (2930) with a pair of Tens
Seat 7: xlebisol (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: Taube_988 (small blind) folded before Flop

I den første, forventer jeg et lille PF-bet da villain (som btw er SNE) spiller ganske habilt. Er det helt i hegnet at tage en beslutning om at hvis jeg klonker ok (som TP som her) mod villains formodede ret bredde range så CR HERO AI på floppet.

I den anden er det, som sagt en sag med at en monster-stack skubber ALT for at samle de ca. 1k der ligger derinde op uden modstand. Min tanke er:

1) Jeg er foran med A4 mod villains range, dog kan jeg ryge ud. Jeg caller ikke for at vinde de 2200'ish der er at vinde på bordet. Jeg caller fordi...

2) UTG er også short og hvis han dobler næste handske så sidder jeg tilbage med ingenting og så er det mig der ryger ud. Dog sidder UTG med ca. 1xBB+ante så måske der skal foldes og håbe på at villain bliver taget ud. Jeg er ude i at det er nok det der skal gøres da han statistisk er ~17% på at vinde hånden efter og jeg dermed er ~83% på at komme i pengene.

Kan det stilles sådan her op??: Big stack skubber random, så HERO's A4o har 56% for at tage de 2900 fra potten samt 56% for herefter at få 83% for at få mine 28.67$ retur. 56% af 2900(*0.95$/100 chips)= $15.42 samt 56% af 83% af 28.67$= $13.32. Samlet giver det $28.74

Omvendt, hvis jeg folder er jeg 83% sikker på at få 28.67 samt de 300-400 chips jeg har tilbage, altså 0.83*28.67$+~3.32$=$27.11

Dermed ser det ud til at det bedst kan betale sig at lave callet, men giver det mening? Jeg føler jeg ikke har fat i noget som helst for tiden, jeg taber og taber og taber (bortset fra når jeg spiller tours, en af hver: 1st, 2nd og 3rd i de sidste like 15 tours). Men altså disse SNG's, som jeg ellers skulle mene jeg nogenlunde kunne slå og i hvert fald har gjort tidligere ganske fint, driver mig til vanvid for tiden. Jeg kan kun booke en winning session hvis den næste bliver tabende med større numerisk værdi end den vindende! PLEASE hjælp sagligt, jeg er lidt desperat her..

Hvis I generelt har nogle råd jeg kunne få vil de også være værdsat! Fx play-ranges i diverse blind-levels, skub bedre end bet ved hvilke stack-sizes og i hvilke blind-levels, ol. Håber sgu det giver bare lidt mening. Og trolls, plz pass along! :)

-nilfo1

Tror du dit call pre i hånd 1 er profitabelt mod en super dygtig reg oop? Når du vinder hånden er det sjældent, at du får mere ud af ham end et 1/3 potsized c-bet.