Hmmm, når jeg putter de 4 hænder i odds calcultor, er jeg faktisk favorit med Q♠ K♣. 28,75% mod A♦ J♥ 28,53%. 9♥ 9♠ har 23,01%, 6♦ 10♦ 19,56% og 0,15% for split.
Nogen der kan give en præcis forklaring på dette?
PokerStars Game #26343090398: Tournament #149949563, $5.00+$0.50 Hold'em No Limit - Level VII (125/250) - 2009/03/25 15:41:54 CET [2009/03/25 10:41:54 ET]
Table '149949563 193' 9-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: Tigerfry (1340 in chips)
Seat 2: loulloutte (4151 in chips)
Seat 3: NowyNo (8938 in chips)
Seat 4: Vincentos x (12605 in chips)
Seat 5: Wanita1 (20976 in chips)
Seat 6: Maddalena72 (11713 in chips)
Seat 7: Hinesi8t2020 (5794 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 8: xxraisex (11585 in chips)
Seat 9: gille339 (1319 in chips)
Tigerfry: posts the ante 25
loulloutte: posts the ante 25
NowyNo: posts the ante 25
Vincentos x: posts the ante 25
Wanita1: posts the ante 25
Maddalena72: posts the ante 25
Hinesi8t2020: posts the ante 25
xxraisex: posts the ante 25
gille339: posts the ante 25
loulloutte: posts small blind 125
NowyNo: posts big blind 250
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Tigerfry [Qs Kc]
Vincentos x: folds
Wanita1: folds
Maddalena72: folds
Hinesi8t2020: folds
xxraisex: calls 250
gille339: calls 250
Tigerfry: raises 1065 to 1315 and is all-in
loulloutte: folds
NowyNo: calls 1065
xxraisex: calls 1065
gille339: calls 1044 and is all-in
*** FLOP *** [3s 8s 7c]
NowyNo: checks
xxraisex: checks
*** TURN *** [3s 8s 7c] [8d]
NowyNo: checks
xxraisex: checks
*** RIVER *** [3s 8s 7c 8d] [5d]
NowyNo: checks
xxraisex: checks
*** SHOW DOWN ***
NowyNo: shows [6d Td] (a pair of Eights)
xxraisex: shows [9h 9s] (two pair, Nines and Eights)
Tigerfry: mucks hand
xxraisex collected 63 from side pot
gille339: mucks hand
xxraisex collected 5526 from main pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 5589 Main pot 5526. Side pot 63. | Rake 0
Board [3s 8s 7c 8d 5d]
Seat 1: Tigerfry (button) mucked [Qs Kc]
Seat 2: loulloutte (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: NowyNo (big blind) showed [6d Td] and lost with a pair of Eights
Seat 4: Vincentos x folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: Wanita1 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Maddalena72 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: Hinesi8t2020 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: xxraisex showed [9h 9s] and won (5589) with two pair, Nines and Eights
Seat 9: gille339 mucked [Ad Jh]
odds 4-way forklaring?
Mit bud er IKKE matematisk stillet op.. men,
- KQ har flere kombinationer for straight end alle andre af de hænder.
- Du har højeste (ud af to) ♠ og eneste ♣
- AJ er ikke favorit, fordi den skal ramme for at vinde.
- 99 er ikke favorit, fordi der er 3 overkort.
Edit: Stavebøf
Str8 og flush muligheder er jeg med på, omend AJ osse har to 4-flush muligheder.
Men du kunne osse slutte at 'KQ er ikke favorit da den skal ramme'. Har bare umiddelbart svært ved at gennemskue, om str8 pos. er nok til at jeg stikker AJ. Det er jo 41-59 oder so HU mellem de to hænder.
Mvh. Fryden.
Det er korrekt, selvrfølgelig skal KQ også ramme, for at vinde.., men jeg tror, dine straight muligheder opvejer procenterne.
Der er 3 ♦ og 2 ♥, hvilket givetvis må trække lidt ned for AJ :)